Browsing by Author "Karlsson, Jacqueline"

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En organisation i tillväxt Om ledarskap och dess omgivning
(2014-08-12) Karlsson, Jacqueline; Benktander, Ellen; University of Gothenburg/Department of Business Administration; Göteborgs universitet/Företagsekonomiska institutionen
Quantifying the Impact of Potential Brexit Scenarios Utilising a Double-Logarithmic Gravity Equation
(2017-06-29) Karlsson, Jacqueline; Melin, Helena; University of Gothenburg/Graduate School; Göteborgs universitet/Graduate School
Purpose. The purpose of this research report was to project if the Brexit would negatively impact the export quantities of passenger cars from Germany to the UK. The automotive industry is highly interconnected and barriers could severely impact the supply chain networks of automotive manufacturers. The topic was of particular interest due to the estimated implications of the Brexit and the substantial passenger car quantities that Germany exports. Methodology. The authors studied the current market structure through the use of a double-logarithmic gravity equation. The gravity model provided the foundation for a quantitative forecasting model which projected future trade quantities under different Brexit scenarios. The model was based on a sample representing 98 per cent of Germany’s total export quantity of passenger cars. Diagnostic tests suggest that the model was robust and efficient in estimating trade quantities. Findings. All Brexit scenarios were estimated to negatively impact the export quantities of passenger cars from Germany to the UK. Lower tariffs were projected to benefit export quantities of passenger cars from Germany, nevertheless, a weaker economy in the UK due to the Brexit is estimated to reduce demand for passenger cars and offset the benefits of trading with low tariffs. The most pessimistic scenario in 2030 forecasts a reduction of 15,4 per cent in exported cars compared to a scenario in the absence of the Brexit. Originality. By being the first to project the impact of the Brexit on German export quantities of passenger cars, the results provide valuable insights for automakers as well as supply chain planners and other professionals. Research limitations. The authors have narrowed their focus to the export of complete cars and do not take into account interactions between countries and industries before or after complete cars are exported.
The effect of trade openness on CO2 emissions
(2019-07-11) Karlsson, Jacqueline; Paulsson, Klara; University of Gothenburg/Department of Economics; Göteborgs universitet/Institutionen för nationalekonomi med statistik
During the last decades, both trade and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions have increased greatly. The plausible correlation between them is, therefore, an important question. The purpose of this thesis was to analyse the effect of trade openness on CO2 emissions. Using a panel data regression, 161 countries were compared over a ten year period. The model used for the regression was the fixed effects model. The effect of trade openness for different income levels was also examined and analysed. The results from the regression showed that trade openness had a positive effect on CO2 emissions, which is in line with some previous studies. It was also concluded that the effect differed between different income levels. For high-income countries, trade openness had a negative effect on CO2 emissions. For low-income countries, the effect was the opposite. The results were interpreted and compared to previous studies. Since the regression showed that trade openness had a negative effect for high-income countries and a positive effect for low-income countries, these results are in line with the Pollution Haven hypothesis. Evidence for the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) was found by observing an inverted U-shape relationship between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and CO2 emissions. As long as trade is an important part of the economy, greater efforts are needed globally to ensure that CO2 emissions from trade start to decrease.