Are Underwriter-Analysts More Informed? Scandinavian Evidence

Abstract

Excess returns for Scandinavian IPO-firm initial buy recommendations registered on the First Call database from underwriter analysts (informed analysts) for 1996-2002 were compared to those of non-underwriter analysts (uninformed analysts). Underwriter analysts recommendations outperformed non-underwriter analyst recommendations during the first year after publication, yielding 28 percent higher mean excess returns. Supporting the superior-information hypothesis and contradict earlier research, the result may be explained by two factors: (1) a lower regional competition between banks for winning corporate finance deals in Scandinavia than the regional competition between banks in the U.S.; and (2) an extended analyst coverage of IPO firms today than during earlier periods making it costlier for underwriter analysts to be caught with giving positively biased buy recommendations.