| dc.contributor.author | Gren, Simon | |
| dc.contributor.author | Leuschner, Elena | |
| dc.date.accessioned | 2022-09-30T11:28:13Z | |
| dc.date.available | 2022-09-30T11:28:13Z | |
| dc.date.issued | 2022-09 | |
| dc.identifier.issn | 1653-8919 | |
| dc.identifier.uri | https://hdl.handle.net/2077/73716 | |
| dc.description.abstract | While researchprovidesevidencethatvoters’considergovernments’
past performance,littleisknownaboutwhichinformationvoterspay
attentionto.Wesuggesttwocompetingtheoriesofretrospective
voting:Outcome-orientedvotersonlyreacttothepolicyoutcome,
whereas position-orientedvotersconsidertheinitialproposalasin-
formativeoftheincumbent’spolicypositionandpunishthemforthe
unpopularidea.Wetesttheseopposingmechanismsusingthecase
of widelyunpopularschoolclosuresandoriginallycompiledgranular
data onSwedishlocalelectionsresultsfrom2002to2018.Weexploit
within municipalityvariationinvotingacrosstimetocausallyesti-
mate theconsequencesforincumbentsintheneighborhoodsurround-
ing theschools.Ourresultsconfirmthatvoterspunishincumbents
for closingaschoolbutalsoforwithdrawingtheproposal:theyvote
position-oriented.Ourfindingshaveimplicationsfortheunderstand-
ing ofretrospectivevotingandwhichinformationcuesvoterslook
backto. | en_US |
| dc.language.iso | eng | en_US |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | Working Papers | en_US |
| dc.relation.ispartofseries | 2022:6 | en_US |
| dc.relation.uri | https://www.gu.se/sites/default/files/2022-09/2022_6_Gren_Leuschner.pdf | en_US |
| dc.title | School’s out! Information Cues and Retrospective Voting in the Case of School Closures in Sweden | en_US |
| dc.type | Text | en_US |
| dc.type.svep | article, other scientific | en_US |
| dc.contributor.organization | The Quality of Government Institute | en_US |
